Empire War Forums

Rasmussen poll obviously.

Oh yeah, the same polls that said Romney was gonna win the 2012 election in an electoral college landslide. Not bias at all

If those polls are biased then so are the other ones, like the ones that predicted a landslide electoral victory for Clinton.

Trump: polls are only accurate when they show me winning/popular

Well it has been proven that Trump support is much higher in polls which receive answers in private instead of in public, which is because some people don’t answer honestly in public.

He won four key states by less than 1% of the vote and also lost the popular vote by almost 3 million votes. Also, the polls average said that Hillary was up by only two points... https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Yeah but they were way off in some key states, they probably overstated it and understated it in some areas as polls can do this. But they were off in the ‘blue wall’ where they predicted a Clinton win in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and especially Wisconsin where Clinton was up by more than 10 points. Florida was closer but polls predicted a Clinton victory. Polls gave Clinton a significant lead throughout much of the election (not all of it) but right at the very end especially the last day of polling there was a significant shift towards Trump which closed the gap from 4 points to 2 points. When the election was called Trump was up by 1 point (and 1 million votes) but after they finished counting New York and California (combined 65 million people and 84 electoral votes) Clinton finished up by 2 points.

And look at the coincidence that CNN and every leftist show always sources the very worst poll (which was at 50% once).

In the 'blue wall,' they only off by 3 points for pretty much all the states. The only state they were really off was Wisconsin, which they gave Clinton a 6.5 point lead. Rasmussen were way more inaccurate than the 2016 election polls. If you go back to the 2012 election, they were giving Romney New Hampshire (lost by 6 points), Wisconsin (lost by 7 points), Pennslyvania (lost by 5 points), etc. If you want links to the 2016 election polls for each state, I'll link them.

Also, the 2016 election polls got the popular vote spot on. Rasmussen were really off on the popular vote in the 2012 election

Yeah but a separate study recently found that Trump support may secretly be much higher than most polls find because people tend to answer differently in private vs in public, suggesting that some people may be answering dishonestly in public.

As far as 2012, all polls gave Romney an advantage. On 538, Politico, Gallup all the polls showed a Romney lead, they gave him the lead on average. So to say that “Rasmussen is inaccurate because it predicted a Romney victory” is dumb because all polls were inaccurate and predicted a Romney lead.